Best MLB Player Props for March 31, 2026
Best MLB Player Props for March 31, 2026
Published 2026-04-01
The 2026 MLB season is still in its early stages, but the data is already starting to separate the ready from the rusty. Tuesday’s slate gives sharp-eyed traders three compelling player prop opportunities — a veteran ace facing a strikeout-prone lineup, a power hitter set up perfectly to punish a struggling pitcher, and a shortstop with a quietly dominant track record against tonight’s opposing starter.
Here’s a breakdown of the three best MLB player props for March 31, and how you can trade these markets on Novig.
Today’s Top MLB Player Props (March 31)
- Player: Max Scherzer | Prop: Over 5.5 strikeouts | Market Price: -102
- Player: Rafael Devers | Prop: Over 1.5 total bases | Market Price: -110
- Player: Francisco Lindor | Prop: Over 1.5 total bases | Market Price: +105
Max Scherzer — Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-102)
Game: Colorado Rockies @ Toronto Blue Jays — 7:07 p.m. ET (COLR, Sportsnet)
At 41 years old, Max Scherzer is showing no signs of decline. In spring training, he posted a 0.66 WHIP across three starts, racking up nine strikeouts — matching his combined hits and walks allowed. That’s the kind of command and swing-and-miss profile that makes a strikeout prop genuinely appealing.
The matchup makes this even more attractive from a prediction-market standpoint. The Colorado Rockies enter Tuesday ranking second in MLB with a 37.2% chase rate and third with a 34.9% whiff rate. Those numbers have translated directly to production — or rather, the lack of it — as Colorado is averaging more than a strikeout per inning on offense. Their team xBA sits at .215 on the season, a strong signal that this isn’t a lineup likely to make consistent contact.
There’s also a workload angle here. Cody Ponce’s knee injury on Monday forced five relievers to cover nearly seven innings, meaning Colorado’s bullpen is taxed heading into tonight. Scherzer should be given more rope than usual — likely six innings — against a lineup that profiles as one of the most strikeout-friendly in baseball.
At -102, this market price reflects a near-coin flip on a prop with meaningful tailwinds. That’s a price worth trading.
Rafael Devers — Over 1.5 Total Bases (-110)
Game: San Francisco Giants @ San Diego Padres — 9:40 p.m. ET (NBC Sports Bay Area, SDPA)
There’s a saying in prediction markets: when the market gives you a chance to fade a bad pitcher, you take it. German Marquez qualifies.
Marquez was dreadful last season, and he didn’t clean things up in spring training either — posting a 7.16 ERA with three home runs allowed in four starts and a .438 slugging percentage against. The case against him is not subtle.
On the other side of the equation is Rafael Devers, who has looked somewhat unlucky through the early portion of the season. The San Francisco Giants have managed just four runs through four games, and Devers is slugging only .333 — but his underlying metrics tell a different story. He’s posting a 62.5% hard-hit rate and an average exit velocity of 94.1 mph, suggesting the results haven’t caught up with the quality of contact yet.
Historically, Devers posted a .256 ISO against right-handed pitching last season — a mark that indicates legitimate over-the-fence power. He should see Marquez at least twice tonight, and given how hittable Marquez has been, one of those plate appearances finding the gap or clearing the fence feels less like a prediction and more like a probability.
At -110, this is a reasonable market price for a prop backed by both process and matchup.
Francisco Lindor — Over 1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Game: New York Mets @ St. Louis Cardinals — 7:45 p.m. ET (SNY, CARD)
When a hitter consistently squares up a specific pitcher with authority, that’s a signal worth paying attention to — even in small samples. Francisco Lindor has faced Andre Pallante 13 times and posted a .462 average and .462 slugging percentage, while averaging an exit velocity of 98.6 mph and striking out just twice. That’s not noise. That’s a hitter who sees the ball well out of this particular pitcher’s hand.
Pallante compounds the concern on his end. He ranked in the fourth percentile in strikeout rate last season and doesn’t generate velocity — a combination that typically plays poorly against hitters with Lindor’s profile. For context, Lindor carries a career .204 ISO and .474 slugging percentage against right-handed pitching. He’s built to punish exactly this type of arm.
Adding one more factor: St. Louis could be flirting with record-high temperatures tonight, which historically benefits hitters in outdoor environments.
At +105, this is one of the better values on tonight’s board. Trading the over here means you’re getting a positive return on a prop with multiple converging factors in your favor — the kind of price that makes prediction markets like Novig so compelling.
Trade These Markets on Novig
These three props represent some of the clearest market edges on Tuesday’s MLB slate. But identifying an edge is only half the equation — where you trade matters just as much.
Novig is a free-to-play sports prediction market and exchange where users trade against each other at fair market prices, with zero vig on every trade. There’s no house working against you, no banning profitable traders, and no purchase necessary to get started. You simply make your prediction, trade at the best available market price, and collect your prize if you’re right.
Whether you’re high on Scherzer’s strikeout upside, backing Devers to punish Marquez, or riding Lindor’s hot history against Pallante, Novig is the smarter place to put your predictions to work.
Head to Novig to explore today’s MLB prediction markets and make your trades before first pitch.
Prices listed are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
