
Super Bowl Sunday is the biggest sporting event of the year. Two weeks of nonstop debate, every tendency charted, every matchup replayed, and then one final game where the season gets decided in a handful of high-leverage snaps.
This year’s matchup adds an extra layer: Seahawks vs Patriots is a Super Bowl rematch on the biggest stage, this time at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara on February 8, 2026.
What makes the betting market fascinating is how equally matched these teams are on paper. Both Seattle and New England finished 14-3, yet both arrived here through playoff games that were decided in very different ways.
Seattle’s run has looked like a top seed acting like a top seed.
They took the NFC’s No. 1 seed (14-3) and then detonated the 49ers in the divisional round 41-6, before surviving a high-variance NFC Championship against the Rams 31-27 to punch their ticket to Santa Clara.
The Seahawks have leaned on a balanced identity which is an efficient offense that can generate explosives and a defense that has graded as elite against the run in NFL Pro’s tracking.
The Patriots’ run has been more of a grind, and that’s the point.
New England went 14-3, won the AFC East, and then advanced through the AFC bracket by winning on defense and situational football. They won 16-3 vs the Chargers in the Wild Card, 28-16 vs Texans in the Divisional, and a road AFC Championship win in Denver to reach the franchise’s 12th Super Bowl appearance.
The Patriots have consistently kept games close, limited explosives, and forced opponents to earn every drive.
This matchup is framed by a few high-leverage edges:
In a Super Bowl week, “healthy” is relative, but there are real names worth tracking.
For New England, the estimated report had Drake Maye limited (throwing shoulder), and several key Patriots projected as non-participants (including OT Morgan Moses, OT Thayer Munford Jr., LB Harold Landry III, LB Robert Spillane).
On Seattle’s side, the same report listed Sam Darnold limited (oblique) and noted Seattle health items including LB Ernest Jones IV among projected non-participants.
With that context set, this is exactly the kind of game where the betting edge often comes down to price, not prediction. For that reason, we have compared odds across three platforms to show where the best price can be found.
Odds were captured from the same Seahawks vs Patriots Super Bowl market window and compared across three platforms:
Only core markets were included:
Promotions and bonuses were excluded to keep the comparison focused strictly on pricing.
Odds are provided from Novig, DraftKings, and FanDuel and updated as of Wednesday, Jan. 28th, 2026 at 5:47 p.m. ET.
The spread market shows clear separation across platforms, even with the same key number.
Novig offers the best price on both sides. Seattle backers pay meaningfully less juice than on FanDuel or DraftKings, and Patriots backers are the only ones getting plus money at the same +4.5.
Best price: Novig
All three platforms align on 45.5, but the price attached to that number is not close.
Novig gives plus money on the over and the cheapest under price available, while both sportsbooks apply standard juice to both sides.
Best price: Novig
Moneyline pricing is where margin shows up most clearly.
Novig offers the cheapest favorite (Seattle) and the best underdog payout (New England), keeping implied probabilities tighter than either sportsbook.
Best price: Novig
DraftKings and FanDuel operate as traditional sportsbooks. They set lines, manage risk internally, and embed margin directly into every market.
Novig uses a peer-based trading model built specifically for sports. Instead of setting odds, it matches buyers and sellers directly. In high-liquidity events like the Super Bowl, that structure tends to produce tighter pricing across spreads, totals, and moneylines.
Seahawks vs Patriots has the profile of a classic Super Bowl: two elite teams, two strong defenses, and a game that can swing on a few explosive plays.
When the margin on the field is small, price matters more than prediction. Across the spread, total, and moneyline, Novig offers the cleanest numbers in this matchup.